Final Score: Sabres 5 - Lightning 6
Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Sabres @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 61 | 51 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 60 | 61 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 32% | 71% |
Recent Results
Sabres
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Anaheim Ducks
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Rangers
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Nashville Predators
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Feb 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Lightning
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Calgary Flames
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3