Final Score: Lightning 3 - Capitals 1
Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 61 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 59 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 64% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 60% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Calgary Flames
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Islanders
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Capitals
vs St. Louis Blues
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Calgary Flames
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Winnipeg Jets
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Calgary Flames
Jan 28, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1