Final Score: Lightning 5 - Canadiens 3
Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Canadiens

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
30-24 Rating 1529
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Canadiens
25-30 Rating 1453
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Canadiens
All-time wins 72 59
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.8 2.6
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Canadiens
Games played 54 55
Avg goals scored 3.6 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.4
Win percentage 56% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 46%