Final Score: Lightning 3 - Maple Leafs 5
Monday, January 20, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
25-19 Rating 1534
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
29-18 Rating 1554
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 53 71
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 44 47
Avg goals scored 3.7 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.9
Win percentage 57% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 67%