Final Score: Islanders 3 - Lightning 5
Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Islanders @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Islanders
32-39 Rating 1484
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Lightning
42-30 Rating 1544
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Islanders Lightning
All-time wins 59 74
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.7 2.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Islanders Lightning
Games played 71 72
Avg goals scored 2.7 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.7
Win percentage 45% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 72%