Final Score: Maple Leafs 6 - Lightning 2
Monday, April 4, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
44-24 Rating 1559
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Lightning
43-25 Rating 1584
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 57 43
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.7
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 68 68
Avg goals scored 3.8 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.8
Win percentage 65% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 66%