Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 5
Wednesday, April 24, 2013 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
25-20 Rating 1489
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Lightning
17-28 Rating 1453
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 45 24
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.4 2.5
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 45 45
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.1
Win percentage 56% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 50%