Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 3
Thursday, April 5, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
37-43 Rating 1490
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
34-46 Rating 1445
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 23 43
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.5 3.4
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 80 80
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.2
Win percentage 46% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 42%