Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 1
Thursday, March 15, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
30-40 Rating 1446
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9
Lightning
32-37 Rating 1495
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 42 23
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.4 2.6
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 70 69
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.4
Win percentage 43% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 62%