Final Score: Senators 7 - Lightning 3
Tuesday, March 6, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
34-33 Rating 1488
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Lightning
31-34 Rating 1504
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Lightning
All-time wins 50 26
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.6 2.5
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Lightning
Games played 67 65
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.4
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 65%