Final Score: Maple Leafs 5 - Lightning 0
Thursday, March 16, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
31-37 Rating 1453
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1
Lightning
34-35 Rating 1520
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 51 34
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 68 69
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.7
Win percentage 46% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%