Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 5
Monday, October 21, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
3-1 Rating 1531
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5
Maple Leafs
3-2 Rating 1538
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 53 69
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 4 5
Avg goals scored 4.0 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.5 2.2
Win percentage 75% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 67%