Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 3
Friday, February 29, 2008 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
28-37 Rating 1481
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Lightning
25-38 Rating 1461
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 37 13
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.6 2.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 65 63
Avg goals scored 2.8 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.3
Win percentage 43% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 45%