Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 3
Thursday, January 21, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
17-34 Rating 1436
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Lightning
19-30 Rating 1419
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 39 18
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 2.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 51 49
Avg goals scored 2.7 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.5 3.1
Win percentage 33% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 50%