Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 3
Monday, December 29, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
20-16 Rating 1498
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Lightning
22-15 Rating 1512
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 48 27
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.4 2.6
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 36 37
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.6
Win percentage 56% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 74%