Final Score: Lightning 6 - Maple Leafs 2
Monday, March 11, 2019 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
52-17 Rating 1623
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Maple Leafs
42-26 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 39 54
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 3.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 69 68
Avg goals scored 3.9 3.6
Avg goals conceded 2.6 2.8
Win percentage 75% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 62%