Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Wednesday, November 25, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
4-18 Rating 1427
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Lightning
9-12 Rating 1422
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 38 18
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.5 2.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 22 21
Avg goals scored 2.6 2.7
Avg goals conceded 3.7 3.0
Win percentage 18% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 18% 56%