Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 1
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
54-34 Rating 1580
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4
Maple Leafs
57-31 Rating 1575
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 47 61
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.8 3.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 88 88
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.8
Avg goals conceded 2.9 3.1
Win percentage 61% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 75%