Final Score: Lightning 5 - Maple Leafs 3
Wednesday, May 4, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 44 | 59 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 5 |
| Stat | Lightning | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 83 | 83 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 66% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 76% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
May 2, 2022 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ New York Islanders
Apr 29, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 28, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 26, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 24, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Nashville Predators
Apr 23, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 21, 2022 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 19, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Apr 16, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Apr 14, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Maple Leafs
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
May 2, 2022 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 29, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 26, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Apr 24, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 23, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 21, 2022 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 19, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Islanders
Apr 17, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 16, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Washington Capitals
Apr 14, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3