Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 7
Sunday, May 8, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
56-29 Rating 1578
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Lightning
52-33 Rating 1576
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 60 45
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 2.7
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 85 85
Avg goals scored 3.9 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.9
Win percentage 66% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 64%