Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, March 20, 2018 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
43-29 Rating 1533
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8
Lightning
49-23 Rating 1574
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 53 37
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 72 72
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.6
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.8
Win percentage 60% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 72%