Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 2
Thursday, December 29, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
15-19 Rating 1443
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3
Lightning
18-18 Rating 1526
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 50 34
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 34 36
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.9 2.8
Win percentage 44% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 62%