Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 2
Wednesday, November 1, 2006 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
6-7 Rating 1511
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Lightning
5-6 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 31 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.6 2.4
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 13 11
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.0
Avg goals conceded 3.8 2.8
Win percentage 46% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 43%