Final Score: Lightning 4 - Maple Leafs 1
Thursday, March 12, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
21-46 Rating 1410
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.8
Maple Leafs
27-41 Rating 1454
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 16 37
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.4 3.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 67 68
Avg goals scored 2.6 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.5
Win percentage 31% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 36%