Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3
Saturday, February 28, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
24-38 Rating 1452
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.6
Senators
23-37 Rating 1462
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Senators
All-time wins 43 47
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 2.8
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Senators
Games played 62 60
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.5
Avg goals conceded 3.6 2.9
Win percentage 39% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 45%