Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 6
Thursday, February 12, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
20-34 Rating 1449
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Lightning
18-36 Rating 1425
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 37 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 2.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 54 54
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.5
Avg goals conceded 3.7 3.1
Win percentage 37% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 35%