Final Score: Lightning 3 - Penguins 4
Wednesday, February 4, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
17-34 Rating 1429
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.2
Penguins
24-28 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 27 27
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 2.9
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 51 52
Avg goals scored 2.5 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 33% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 48%