Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 3
Tuesday, January 28, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
31-21 Rating 1506
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3
Maple Leafs
27-27 Rating 1490
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 25 45
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.6 3.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 52 54
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.5 3.1
Win percentage 60% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 61%