Final Score: Lightning 3 - Maple Leafs 1
Thursday, April 4, 2019 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
60-20 Rating 1629
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Maple Leafs
46-34 Rating 1527
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 40 54
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.7 3.2
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 80 80
Avg goals scored 4.0 3.5
Avg goals conceded 2.7 3.0
Win percentage 75% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 57%