Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 67 | 51 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 5 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Florida Panthers
Oct 19, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Oct 16, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Oct 14, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Oct 11, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Florida Panthers
May 12, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Florida Panthers
May 10, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Florida Panthers
May 7, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Florida Panthers
May 4, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Florida Panthers
May 2, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 29, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Lightning
vs Vancouver Canucks
Oct 19, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Oct 17, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Detroit Red Wings
Oct 14, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Nashville Predators
Oct 10, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 29, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 27, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 24, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 22, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 20, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7