Final Score: Lightning 1 - Maple Leafs 3
Tuesday, March 31, 2015 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
47-30 Rating 1540
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Maple Leafs
28-48 Rating 1422
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 29 48
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.6 3.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 77 76
Avg goals scored 3.2 2.6
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.2
Win percentage 61% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 53%