Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 4
Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
26-38 Rating 1446
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3
Lightning
39-26 Rating 1528
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 48 28
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 64 65
Avg goals scored 2.7 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.6
Win percentage 41% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 77%