Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 4
Thursday, February 26, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
34-21-9 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Lightning
33-22-7 Rating 1526
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 29 8
Last 5 meetings 4 0
Average goals 3.6 2.2
Last meeting 4 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 64 62
Avg goals scored 2.8 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.5 2.3
Win percentage 53% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 55%