Final Score: Lightning 3 - Maple Leafs 4
Thursday, March 11, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
27-38 Rating 1429
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4
Maple Leafs
21-45 Rating 1424
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 19 39
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.5 3.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 65 66
Avg goals scored 2.7 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.4
Win percentage 42% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 39%