Final Score: Nationals 0 - Phillies 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Nationals
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Phillies
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 67% | 14% | 11% | 8% |
| If Win | 71% | 16% | 12% | 7% |
| If Lose | 61% | 13% | 10% | 7% |
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 463 | 511 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 114 | 113 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 52% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Phillies
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs New York Yankees
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs New York Yankees
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1