Final Score: Phillies 5 - Orioles 0
Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
57-53 Rating 1536
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Orioles
54-56 Rating 1502
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Orioles
All-time wins 35 42
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Orioles
Games played 110 110
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 52% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 53%