Final Score: Phillies 0 - Marlins 1
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Phillies @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 302 | 249 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 8 |
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 107 | 107 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 58% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs New York Yankees
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs New York Yankees
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs New York Mets
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs New York Mets
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Marlins
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Houston Astros
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2