Marlins @ Braves
Marlins
Model Probability
Braves
Atlanta Braves +0.7
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | 2–0 | Marlins +2 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 6–2 | Marlins +4 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 5–2 | Marlins +3 | Mets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2–4 | Mets +2 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 6–8 | Marlins +2 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Braves | 220-335-6 | 39.6% | -18.2 | 544 |
| Marlins Mets | 254-295-3 | 46.3% | -5.5 | 532 |
| Marlins Phillies | 251-302-3 | 45.4% | -8.6 | 528 |
| Marlins Nationals | 277-265-7 | 51.1% | +11.4 | 528 |
| Marlins Cubs | 120-126-6 | 48.8% | +0.2 | 244 |