Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Marlins 1 - Cubs 2
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Miami
Marlins
78-80 Rating 1490
Form: LLLWW
1 – 2
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Chicago
Cubs
87-71 Rating 1533
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 123 128
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 49% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 56%