Final Score: Marlins 0 - Padres 0
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-55 Rating 1496
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
58-55 Rating 1526
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 108 124
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 113 113
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.3
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 56%