Final Score: Marlins 4 - Diamondbacks 3
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Marlins @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 87 | 105 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Marlins | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 152 | 152 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 56% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Mets
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 29
14-15
vs New York Mets
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs New York Mets
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
Diamondbacks
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Houston Astros
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Houston Astros
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3