Padres @ Diamondbacks
Padres
Model Probability
Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 1–5 | Diamondbacks +4 | Diamondbacks +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 0–5 | Guardians +5 | Guardians +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 12–8 | Diamondbacks +4 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4–1 | Diamondbacks +3 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3–0 | Diamondbacks +3 | Diamondbacks +0.0 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks Dodgers | 213-281-3 | 43.1% | -5.7 | 483 |
| Diamondbacks Rockies | 275-216-6 | 56.0% | +14.4 | 480 |
| Diamondbacks Padres | 251-236-6 | 51.5% | +1.0 | 479 |
| Diamondbacks Giants | 215-272-4 | 44.1% | -17.1 | 478 |
| Diamondbacks Brewers | 96-103 | 48.2% | -3.2 | 194 |