Final Score: Diamondbacks 0 - Padres 0
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 252 | 238 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 63% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
vs New York Yankees
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Yankees
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs New York Yankees
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Padres
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5