Final Score: Marlins 0 - Padres 0
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
35-35 Rating 1489
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 108 121
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 70 68
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 50%