Final Score: Nationals 0 - Padres 0
Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
35-32 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 271 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 69 67
Avg runs scored 5.4 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.0
Win percentage 51% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 50%