Final Score: Padres 0 - Rays 0
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Padres @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
35-32 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rays
40-25 Rating 1522
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Rays
All-time wins 11 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 5.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Rays
Games played 67 65
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.4
Win percentage 52% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 73%