Final Score: Pirates 0 - Padres 3
Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
65-69 Rating 1481
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
71-62 Rating 1535
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 278 247
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 134 133
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.2
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 59%