Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Pirates 8
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
66-57 Rating 1535
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Pirates
60-65 Rating 1477
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Pirates
All-time wins 15 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.8
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Pirates
Games played 123 125
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.8
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 50%