Final Score: Pirates 2 - Marlins 8
Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 128 | 111 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Pirates | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 121 | 120 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 61% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs New York Mets
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs New York Mets
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs New York Mets
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Marlins
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Mets
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2