Final Score: Pirates 4 - Brewers 3
Monday, August 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
56-57 Rating 1482
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +1.2
Brewers
69-42 Rating 1569
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Brewers
All-time wins 201 259
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 14 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Brewers
Games played 113 111
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.8
Win percentage 50% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%